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HPC Total Market Forecast for 2011 through 2015: Economic Sectors and Vertical Markets

by Christopher G. Willard, Ph.D., Addison Snell, Laura Segervall, Sue Gouws Korn, C.F.A.
for Intersect360 Research
June 2011

 

This Intersect360 Research report presents our 2010 total market model and five-year forecast for the overall High Performance Computing (HPC) market along three dimensions: super-segments (High Performance Technical Computing / HPTC and High Performance Business Computing / HPBC), economic sector (government, academia, and industry) and vertical market (e.g., manufacturing, financial services). The forecast horizon is from 2011 through 2015, with compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) using 2010 as a base.

HPC market recovery occurred sooner than expected, with double-digit growth in 2010 coming back from the recessionary 2009. Intersect360 Research expects strong growth to continue in 2011 before moderating to more sustainable growth rates in the out-years of the forecast.

  • The total HPC market in 2010 was $25.6 billion, growing 22.4% versus 2009.
     
  • Intersect360 Research projects the HPC total revenue CAGR to be 7.0% from 2010 to 2015.
     
  • Industrial usage of HPC is growing faster than academic or governmental, and it is expected to bring in 58.3% of HPC server revenue in 2015.
     
  • By 2015, the top five verticals in terms of absolute HPC server revenues will be academic/not-for-profit, national security, financial services, national research labs, and ultrascale internet. If large-product and consumer product manufacturing are put together, the combined manufacturing segment is slightly larger than financial services, although financial services approaches manufacturing in size throughout the forecast period.
  • The top five fastest-growing verticals for server revenue (in terms of CAGR) are chemical engineering, online games, consumer product manufacturing, ultrascale internet, and energy.


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