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Worldwide High Performance Computing 2016 Total Market Model and 2017–2021 Forecast: Regions

by Addison Snell, Christopher G. Willard, Ph.D., Laura Segervalll
for Intersect360 Research
March 2018
This Intersect360 Research report presents the 2016 total market model and five-year forecast for the overall High Performance Computing (HPC) market, segmented into geographic regions. The forecast horizon is from 2017 through 2021, with compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) using 2016 as a base.
 
Other Intersect360 Research reports provide forecast segmentations by product category (servers, storage, services, software, networking, cloud, and other), server class (entry-level, mid-range, high-end, supercomputer), economic sectors, and vertical markets, as well as vendor shares for the current year for servers and for storage.
 
Intersect360 Research defines HPC as the use of servers, clusters, and supercomputers—plus associated software, tools, components, storage, and services—for scientific, engineering, or analytical tasks that are particularly intensive in computation, memory usage, or data management. Intersect360 Research separately tracks the hyperscale market, which consists of arbitrarily scalable, web-facing application infrastructure in excess of $1 million of annual spending from a given site.
 
Some of the key findings of this report include:
 
  • The total worldwide HPC market (servers, storage, software, etc.) reached $35.6 billion in 2016, up 3.5% from 2015.
  • Intersect360 Research projects HPC revenue compound annual growth rate to be 4.3% CAGR from 2016 to 2021, reaching $43.9 billion at the end of the forecast period.
  • Driven in particular by growth in China, the Asia-Pacific region showed the largest percentage growth in 2016, and it now consumes nearly the same amount of HPC by revenue as EMEA.
  • North America will post the slowest regional growth over the next five years; nevertheless, it will remain slightly above 50% of the total HPC market throughout the forecast period.
  • Asia-Pacific will continue to lead all regions in growth, driven by continued investment in China, as well as major Exascale initiatives in Japan. That said, we do not forecast a dramatic difference in growth rates between the major regions.
 
 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY........... 1
TECHNOLOGIES COVERED IN THIS REPORT........... 2
INTRODUCTION........... 4
Geographic Regions........ 4
What Is HPC?........ 4
HPC 2016 TOTAL MARKET MODEL: GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS........... 6
2016 Market Performance........ 6
2016–2021 HPC MARKET FORECAST: GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS........... 7
CONCLUSIONS........... 8
APPENDIX A: METHODOLOGY........... 9
Methodology Updates........ 9
APPENDIX B: HPC MARKET DYNAMICS MODEL AND FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS........... 11
Market Maturity........ 11
Fundamental Market Dynamics Model........ 11
Fundamental Market Assumptions........ 13
Fundamental Drivers........ 13
Fundamental Market Dampeners........ 14
Model-Based Assumptions........ 15
Basic Market Drivers........ 15
Basic Market Dampeners........ 15


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